Matthew William Donald vs Alexandre Aubriot Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Recent second serve performance shows Matthew William Donald at 40.83% and Alexandre Aubriot slightly ahead with 42.31%. Can second serve efficiency swing the match? Even though the margin is narrow, Aubriot's slight edge might influence the outcome.
• In return game stats, Matthew William Donald outperforms Alexandre Aubriot, winning 49.69% of opponents' second serve points compared to Aubriot's 45.47%.
• Matthew William Donald also has a better return on first serves with 30.24% compared to Aubriot's 28.02%. Will Donald's returning skills be decisive?
• Both players are close in saving break points, with Aubriot slightly ahead at 51.83% vs. Donald's 51.06%. Saving break points is crucial in pivotal moments.
• Overall match performance over the past year favors Matthew William Donald with a 58.46% win rate compared to Aubriot's 50.79%.
• Both players excel on hard surfaces with a win rate of 54%. However, Alexandre Aubriot struggles more on I.hard with a win rate of 42%.
• Matthew William Donald has played against lower-ranked opponents with an average rank of 434.91, while Alexandre Aubriot faced tougher opposition with an average rank of 325.78. How might this impact match toughness?
• In deciding sets, Aubriot has a superior performance, winning 45% of the time compared to Donald's 38%.
• Matthew William Donald shows better breakpoint conversion at 39.24% compared to Aubriot's 32.30%. This statistic is crucial for seizing competitive moments.
• In direct head-to-head encounters, Aubriot leads, having won their only match against Donald, which might influence psychological confidence.

Editorial Prediction (November 14, 2025, UTC):

This upcoming match presents a closely contested battle where both players have demonstrated strengths in different areas. While Matthew William Donald shows strong return game abilities and effective breakpoint conversion, Alexandre Aubriot has a slight advantage on second serve performance.

Aubriot’s experience against higher-ranked opponents and past head-to-head victory over Donald could provide psychological leverage. Donald's overall recent win percentage and superior breakpoint conversion rate showcase his potential to dominate critical points.

Considering the players' recent performances and statistics, the match appears to be finely balanced. However, Alexandre Aubriot's edge in second serve performance and history of winning against more formidable opponents positions him as the marginal favorite to win in this encounter.